← DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at DTR Regional - Reaper Game Store
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 41.7% | -5.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.6% | 13 | 2-7-4 | 30.8% | 35.3% | 40.5% | -4.0 |
| Water Allies | 8.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 70.1% | +15.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | -12.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.8% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 57.0% | +4.5 |
| Water Genbu | 5.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.7% | +7.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.2% | +3.0 |
| Fire Suited | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.7% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.0% | -5.8 |
| Wind Allies | 2.7% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.2% | +3.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Water Ciel | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.6% | -15.7 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 29.3% | -19.9 |
| Wind Beast | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +4.3 |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Regal Inquisition, Resolute Stand, Aesan Protector. Losers more often ran: Blackmarket Broker, Safeguard Amulet, Nullifying Lantern.
Show all 54 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.60 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Shadowstrike | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Shadow's Claw | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devouring Malice | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadeblood Coating | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Idle Thoughts | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dusksoul Stone | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Art of War | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dreamy Unicorn | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |