DeckaDice QLD DTR Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	4	11.4%	1-7-1	16.7%	35.6%	41.7%	45.0%	1135	↓ low
2		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	4	11.4%	8-13-0	38.1%	42.3%	48.8%	49.1%	1219	—
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	3	8.6%	13-5-0	72.2%	64.3%	56.9%	55.1%	1318	↑ top
4		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	8.6%	10-5-2	64.7%	62.1%	54.3%	54.7%	1246	—
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	8.6%	6-6-2	50.0%	47.9%	46.5%	46.5%	1204	—
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	5.7%	7-4-2	61.5%	60.0%	51.3%	51.8%	1315	↑ top
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	5.7%	6-2-3	68.2%	52.6%	55.4%	50.5%	1460	↑ top
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-2-1	58.3%	52.4%	53.0%	51.0%	1252	—
9		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.4%	53.7%	54.5%	1223	—
10		Fire Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.5%	46.7%	47.9%	1184	—
11		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.8%	44.0%	45.4%	1080	↓ low
12		Fire Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	35.6%	40.0%	41.4%	1152	↓ low
13		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.6%	42.2%	48.7%	1002	↓ low
14		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	34.6%	48.9%	47.5%	1161	↓ low
15		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-3-1	41.7%	39.2%	46.9%	45.3%	1262	—
16		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-2-2	50.0%	46.4%	49.6%	48.4%	1314	↑ top
17		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	42.3%	40.0%	45.4%	1046	↓ low
18		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.9%	5-1-2	75.0%	59.0%	57.4%	53.9%	1502	↑ top
19		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.0%	49.3%	50.1%	1217	—
20		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.8%	52.3%	52.9%	1210	—
21		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	37.6%	42.2%	42.5%	1168	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 4 decks · 11.4%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 11.4%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 8.6%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 8.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 8.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 5.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Lorraine 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Silvie 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.9%