Water Crux MageTier 2
at DeckaDice QLD DTR Regionals
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.2%
avg ELO -5.8 per match
expected value
46.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1262–1262
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1156
Q3 1299
1617
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 11.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Allies | 8.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.1 |
| Fire Silvie | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
