Wind AlliesTier 1
at DeckaDice QLD DTR Regionals
decks
3
(8.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
10-5-2
overall winrate
64.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.1%
avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1246
· median 1188
· range 1102–1447
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1156
Q3 1299
1617
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 11.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.7% | +11.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 61.0% | +8.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.7% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 59.4% | +7.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Silvie | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.1 |
| Water Genbu | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
