← Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025
Fire OblationTier 2
at Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025
decks
3
(3.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
32
12-15-5
overall winrate
45.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
42.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1373
· median 1404
· range 1262–1452
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1074
Q1 1218
Q3 1406
1599
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 27.5% | 10 | 1-8-1 | 15.0% | 25.0% | 32.3% | -7.9 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.1% | -5.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.8% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 60.5% | +7.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.1% | -13.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 33.6% | -10.5 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.6 |
| Slimes | 2.5% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Suited | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
