← Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 27.5% | 27 | 10-8-9 | 53.7% | 53.2% | 48.7% | -0.5 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 31.9% | -10.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 9 | 5-2-2 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 48.1% | -0.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.6% | -14.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 10 | 5-2-3 | 65.0% | 60.7% | 57.2% | +3.2 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.8% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 39.5% | -7.8 |
| Slimes | 2.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.2% | +12.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 44.8% | -3.9 |
| Fire Suited | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.6% | +13.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazing Bowman | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rile the Abyss | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Under Fire | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heated Vengeance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fatestone of Unrelenting | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Demolition | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Creative Shock | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Vengeful Paramour | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spark Alight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Restorative Flame | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blazing Throw | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clumsy Apprentice | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dire Requiem | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Suzaku's Command | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |