← Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025

Wind AlliesTier 2

at Quicksilver Cup Auckland 2025

decks
8 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
49 15-33-1
overall winrate
31.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.8% avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
39.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1321 · median 1360 · range 1128–1491 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1074 Q1 1218 Q3 1406 1599
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 27.5% 10 2-8-0 20.0% 28.6% 35.5% -6.5
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 44.2% -3.1
Fire Suzaku 8.8% 5 4-1-0 80.0% 66.7% 68.1% +10.4
Fire Crux Mage 7.5% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 43.9% -3.5
Fire Aggro 6.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 34.4% -14.9
Wind Astra Cleric 6.2% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.9% +1.4
Wind Seiryuu 6.2% 4 0-4-0 0.0% 25.0% 27.2% -14.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 42.0% -7.7
Water Allies 5.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.5% -2.4
Water Astra Ranger 5.0% 0
Fire Oblation 3.8% 0
Slimes 2.5% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 57.5% +7.2
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.5% -13.6
Wind Razorgale 2.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.0% -22.4
Fire Aetherwing 1.2% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 1.2% 0
Fire Suited 1.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.8% -17.9
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.2% 0
Water Aetherwing 1.2% 0
Water Astra Diana 1.2% 0
Water Fractal 1.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.8% -5.1
Water Umbra Guardian 1.2% 0
Wind Ciel 1.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.0% -1.9
Wind Dawn of Ashes 1.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.0% -14.4
Wind Lorraine 1.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 34.2% -25.3
Wind Slice & Dice 1.2% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 63 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 63 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Lurking Assailant +1.00 2 0 0
Rallied Advance -1.00 0 2 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 2 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 2 0
Huaji of Heaven's Rise -0.50 0 1 1
Heavy Swing +0.50 1 0 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin +0.50 1 0 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +0.50 1 0 1
Yuan Shao, Crown General +0.50 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -0.50 0 1 1
Portentous Tanggu +0.50 1 0 0
Sword of Seeking -0.50 0 1 1
Manxome Armoire +0.50 1 0 0
Mortal Ambition +0.50 1 0 0
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster -0.50 0 1 1
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +0.50 1 0 0
Inert Sword +0.50 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern -0.50 0 1 1
Scavenging Raccoon +0.50 1 0 0
Ciel, Loyal Valet +0.50 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate -0.50 0 1 1
Bulwark Sword +0.50 1 0 0
Servant's Obligation +0.50 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree -0.50 0 1 1
Lorraine, Blademaster -0.50 0 1 1
The Looking Glass +0.50 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -0.50 0 1 1
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior -0.50 0 1 1
Ma Chao, Lupine Huntress +0.50 1 0 0
Chrysalis, Hazy Caterpillar +0.50 1 0 0
Staggering Strike -0.50 0 1 0
Extortion Scheme -0.50 0 1 0
Zhang Fei, Spirited Steel -0.50 0 1 0
Cry for Help -0.50 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet -0.50 0 1 0
Dodge Roll -0.50 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -0.50 0 1 0
Beastbond Ears -0.50 0 1 0
Dilu, Auspicious Charger +0.00 1 1 0
Reclaim +0.00 1 1 0
Longtail Grovesward +0.00 1 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +0.00 1 1 0
Safeguard Paragon +0.00 1 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.00 1 1 0
Veiling Breeze +0.00 1 1 0
Liu Bei, Oathkeeper +0.00 1 1 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +0.00 1 1 0
Purging Tempest +0.00 1 1 0
Smoke Bombs +0.00 1 1 0
Deflecting Edge +0.00 1 1 0
Windmill Engineer +0.00 1 1 0
Clarent, Reimagined +0.00 1 1 0
Hurricane Sweep +0.00 1 1 0
Second Wind +0.00 1 1 0
Trained Hawk +0.00 1 1 0
Parcenet, Royal Maid +0.00 1 1 0
Cell Vanguard +0.00 1 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.00 1 1 0
Oath of the Sakura +0.00 1 1 0
Clarent, Sword of Peace +0.00 1 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +0.00 1 1 0
Dream Fairy +0.00 1 1 0
Counter Interference +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/31647/archetypes/Wind Allies