← Hobby Lords Palmerston North Regionals
SlimesTier 2
at Hobby Lords Palmerston North Regionals
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.9%
avg ELO +5.1 per match
expected value
54.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1217
· median 1217
· range 1217–1217
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
991
Q1 1138
Q3 1343
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Water Fractal | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Triskit | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
