Hobby Lords Palmerston North Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	10.7%	8-5-1	60.7%	53.6%	53.5%	51.7%	1419	↑ top
2		Water Fractal	Tier 2	3	10.7%	7-6-0	53.8%	47.1%	49.6%	47.6%	1240	—
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	3	10.7%	6-5-3	53.6%	59.6%	52.0%	54.2%	1196	—
4		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	2	7.1%	6-3-1	65.0%	46.7%	54.2%	49.8%	1460	↑ top
5		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	7.1%	7-4-0	63.6%	48.9%	51.3%	48.8%	1382	↑ top
6		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	7.1%	3-7-0	30.0%	42.3%	40.5%	44.9%	1245	—
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	7.1%	3-9-0	25.0%	35.1%	42.7%	44.6%	1183	↓ low
8		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	2	7.1%	5-1-2	75.0%	72.1%	56.7%	59.1%	1276	—
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.6%	4-0-1	90.0%	68.7%	60.0%	57.9%	1275	—
10		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	32.7%	40.0%	42.3%	1015	↓ low
11		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-2-0	50.0%	63.2%	46.7%	53.1%	1094	↓ low
12		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.6%	3-1-1	70.0%	58.9%	54.4%	53.7%	1217	—
13		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	43.3%	46.0%	46.6%	1154	↓ low
14		Water Triskit	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	43.3%	46.0%	46.6%	1154	↓ low
15		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.6%	1-6-0	14.3%	40.6%	41.0%	46.0%	1013	↓ low
16		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	3.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	41.6%	41.8%	46.0%	1141	↓ low
17		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	45.1%	47.5%	45.9%	1244	—
18		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-1-2	60.0%	47.1%	52.5%	48.5%	1395	↑ top
19		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.6%	3-2-0	60.0%	60.0%	52.0%	53.8%	1181	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 10.7%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 10.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 10.7%
• Fire Crux Merlin 2 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 7.1%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 7.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 7.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.6%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.6%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.6%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 3.6%
• Water Triskit 1 deck · 3.6%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 3.6%