← HP Wolvesden DTR Store Championships
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at HP Wolvesden DTR Store Championships
decks
2
(4.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-7-2
overall winrate
46.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1340
· median 1340
· range 1184–1496
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1161
Q3 1427
1668
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 32.6% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.6% | -1.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.8% | -10.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.7 |
| Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Water Genbu | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Water Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +3.3 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
