← HP Wolvesden DTR Store Championships
Water GenbuTier 2
at HP Wolvesden DTR Store Championships
decks
1
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.3%
avg ELO +4.2 per match
expected value
52.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1467
· median 1467
· range 1467–1467
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1161
Q3 1427
1668
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 32.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Fire Byakko | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
