HP Wolvesden DTR Store Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	14	32.6%	46-24-4	64.9%	59.2%	57.2%	54.9%	1389	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	4	9.3%	12-13-0	48.0%	49.2%	40.8%	42.5%	1333	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	4	9.3%	8-15-2	36.0%	40.5%	45.5%	46.6%	1178	↓ low
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	9.3%	17-14-3	54.4%	53.1%	51.6%	51.7%	1328	—
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	7.0%	8-6-0	57.1%	56.5%	53.5%	55.2%	1252	—
6		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	7.0%	4-7-1	37.5%	35.7%	42.5%	42.2%	1390	↑ top
7		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	4.7%	8-6-0	57.1%	54.4%	52.7%	53.0%	1358	—
8		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	4.7%	6-7-2	46.7%	51.6%	47.2%	48.9%	1340	—
9		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.7%	7-6-0	53.8%	55.5%	50.0%	51.6%	1245	—
10		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	2	4.7%	5-4-0	55.6%	49.4%	46.4%	45.8%	1510	↑ top
11		Fire Byakko	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-3-0	57.1%	51.2%	45.3%	45.6%	1472	↑ top
12		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-3-0	50.0%	57.4%	56.1%	58.0%	1164	↓ low
13		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-3-1	50.0%	53.7%	45.3%	47.7%	1348	—
14		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	52.7%	43.6%	50.7%	1041	↓ low
15		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-4-0	0.0%	32.3%	34.5%	38.6%	1098	↓ low
16		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-5-0	44.4%	41.6%	45.4%	44.7%	1365	—
17		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-6-0	25.0%	38.1%	40.3%	42.9%	1256	—
18		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-5-0	37.5%	45.9%	49.2%	51.1%	1341	—
19		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.3%	5-2-0	71.4%	56.6%	55.7%	52.3%	1345	—
20		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.3%	6-4-0	60.0%	59.3%	52.1%	53.9%	1467	↑ top
21		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.2%	45.4%	47.6%	1269	—
22		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-5-0	0.0%	26.7%	38.7%	40.5%	1157	↓ low
23		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-5-0	28.6%	43.7%	40.2%	44.3%	1138	↓ low
24		Wind Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-5-0	37.5%	29.6%	39.5%	36.4%	1467	↑ top
25		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-4-1	43.8%	47.3%	45.9%	47.2%	1446	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 14 decks · 32.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 9.3%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 9.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 9.3%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 7.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 7.0%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 4.7%
• Horse and Taxes 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Byakko 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.3%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.3%