BGM Distorted Reflections Store Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	8	26.7%	23-11-0	67.6%	59.1%	54.7%	51.7%	1412	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	13.3%	11-7-0	61.1%	53.2%	52.1%	51.6%	1302	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	6.7%	7-4-0	63.6%	65.1%	54.2%	58.3%	1254	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	6.7%	1-7-0	12.5%	32.5%	39.6%	43.7%	1172	↓ low
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	6.7%	8-4-0	66.7%	54.2%	52.0%	49.6%	1517	↑ top
6		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	6.7%	4-8-0	33.3%	49.0%	49.1%	53.5%	1144	↓ low
7		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.3%	1-5-0	16.7%	37.8%	41.2%	45.4%	1159	↓ low
8		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	53.0%	45.0%	47.6%	1229	↓ low
9		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.7%	44.2%	49.0%	1184	↓ low
10		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	3.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	32.4%	37.0%	34.3%	1550	↑ top
11		Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	61.8%	55.0%	57.5%	1256	—
12		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	3.3%	5-2-0	71.4%	51.0%	52.5%	47.8%	1345	—
13		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.0%	44.7%	47.3%	1233	↓ low
14		Water Diana	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.8%	47.7%	50.4%	1352	↑ top
15		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	3.3%	2-5-0	28.6%	42.9%	40.4%	44.6%	1355	↑ top
16		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.3%	4-3-0	57.1%	45.3%	47.4%	43.2%	1287	—
17		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	3.3%	0-5-0	0.0%	34.6%	35.6%	42.5%	1104	↓ low
18		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	3.3%	0-1-0	0.0%	40.6%	40.0%	40.6%	1095	↓ low
19		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.3%	0-1-0	0.0%	43.2%	40.0%	43.2%	1150	↓ low
20		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	39.9%	42.0%	44.1%	1340	—
21		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	3.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	57.4%	54.3%	51.0%	1446	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 8 decks · 26.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 13.3%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.3%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.3%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.3%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 3.3%
• Slimes 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Diana 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 3.3%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.3%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 3.3%