Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at 9/7DTR Store Champion
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
9-7-0
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.3%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
54.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1307
· range 1223–1392
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1009
Q1 1223
Q3 1352
1523
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.0% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 56.1% | +3.1 |
| Fire Suited | 20.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.2% | +17.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Fire Exia | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.9% | +9.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
