Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 9/7DTR Store Champion
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.9%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1174
· median 1174
· range 1174–1174
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1009
Q1 1223
Q3 1352
1523
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Fire Suited | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
