Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 9/7DTR Store Champion
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
11-5-1
overall winrate
67.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
57.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1357
· median 1357
· range 1307–1408
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1009
Q1 1223
Q3 1352
1523
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.0% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 43.9% | -3.5 |
| Fire Suited | 20.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.3% | +9.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Exia | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.0% | +0.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
