Fire SuitedTier 2
at 9/7DTR Store Champion
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.0% | 10 | 2-8-0 | 20.0% | 28.6% | 25.4% | -11.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.2% | -6.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.8% | -17.5 |
| Fire Exia | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.7% | -9.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 63 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 63 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight Flare | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Duchess, Six of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Allied Warpriestess | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fiery Interference | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Five of Spades | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Impact Hammer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Five of Hearts | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sleight of Hand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wonderland's Reign | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ashen Riffle | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Chosen Disciple | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rouge, Ace of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Unrelenting | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Suited Trickery | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mandate of Honor | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Two of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verita, Queen of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Two of Spades | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Noire, Ace of Spades | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Death Essence Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fabled Ruby Fatestone | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trump Set | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Spades | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Consumption Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |