Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 9/7DTR Store Champion
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.6%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
46.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1335
· median 1335
· range 1282–1387
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1009
Q1 1223
Q3 1352
1523
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.9% | -5.8 |
| Fire Suited | 20.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.7% | +3.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.0% | -0.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
