← CakeTCG Utrecht DTR Regional
Wind ArcaneTier 2
at CakeTCG Utrecht DTR Regional
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.4%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1292
· median 1292
· range 1292–1292
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1086
Q1 1234
Q3 1423
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Genbu | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Water Kongming | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Ciel | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.1% | +22.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
