CakeTCG Utrecht DTR Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	4	11.4%	13-6-5	64.6%	63.3%	55.7%	55.8%	1308	—
2		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	4	11.4%	13-9-1	58.7%	67.7%	53.9%	56.7%	1260	↓ low
3		Water Fractal	Tier 2	4	11.4%	7-9-1	44.1%	50.8%	44.9%	47.9%	1290	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	8.6%	8-7-1	53.1%	46.9%	47.1%	46.0%	1339	—
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	8.6%	10-6-0	62.5%	42.9%	51.2%	44.7%	1473	↑ top
6		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	5.7%	8-4-0	66.7%	69.6%	56.6%	58.7%	1304	—
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	5.7%	3-5-0	37.5%	43.0%	44.5%	44.8%	1432	↑ top
8		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	5.7%	6-4-1	59.1%	52.5%	52.4%	50.7%	1476	↑ top
9		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	36.2%	41.2%	39.6%	1176	↓ low
10		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	41.4%	49.7%	45.7%	1425	↑ top
11		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	46.4%	42.9%	48.3%	1303	—
12		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.9%	3-2-1	58.3%	48.3%	52.9%	49.2%	1366	—
13		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-4-0	20.0%	38.3%	41.7%	43.0%	1186	↓ low
14		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-3-1	30.0%	46.1%	42.4%	46.2%	1185	↓ low
15		Water Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.9%	0-6-0	0.0%	28.1%	40.0%	42.0%	1202	↓ low
16		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.9%	2-4-0	33.3%	44.4%	45.0%	47.2%	1292	—
17		Wind Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-5-0	16.7%	33.9%	37.8%	39.5%	1086	↓ low
18		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.9%	1-2-0	33.3%	33.1%	43.3%	39.3%	1333	—
19		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.9%	4-1-1	75.0%	53.5%	56.2%	50.1%	1520	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Lorraine 4 decks · 11.4%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 4 decks · 11.4%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 11.4%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 8.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 8.6%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 5.7%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 5.7%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.9%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.9%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.9%
• Water Kongming 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Ciel 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.9%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.9%