← Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.8% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 55.5% | +2.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.0 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 52.7% | +1.6 |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.4% | +2.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.1% | +2.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.5% | +3.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.1% | +7.7 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.2% | +4.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 36.5% | -10.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.7% | -3.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.2% | +5.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -2.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Spirit Ruler | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Crux Knight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hone by Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Repelling Palmblast | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit's Blessing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword Saint's Vow | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |