← Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
Water Penguin MillTier 3
at Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
decks
2
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
2-8-1
overall winrate
22.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
43.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1319
· range 1113–1525
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1259
Q3 1444
1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.3 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Water Oblation | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Penguin Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
