← Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1

Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1

at Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1

decks
8 (6.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
41 21-19-1
overall winrate
52.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.8% avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
52.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1333 · median 1306 · range 1214–1541 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
994 Q1 1259 Q3 1444 1750
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 38% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 8.8% 6 6-0-0 100.0% 80.0% 63.9% +7.4
Wind Shadowstrike 8.8% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 53.9% +2.9
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.1% +1.0
Fire Suited 5.6% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.9% -0.1
Water Fractal 5.6% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 47.9% -2.0
Fire Suzaku 4.8% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 53.0% +1.9
Water Genbu 4.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.3% +2.2
Wind Seiryuu 4.0% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 52.6% +1.7
Horse and Taxes 3.2% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 44.3% -4.2
Water Allies 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.9% +12.6
Water Astra Ranger 3.2% 0
Fire Crux Mage 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.8% -5.1
Water Aetherwing 2.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.7% +2.8
Water Umbra Guardian 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.4% -4.2
Wind Allies 2.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.1% +1.1
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.8% +6.1
Fire Aetherwing 1.6% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 1.6% 0
Water Penguin Mill 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.0% +6.3
Water Tera Cleric 1.6% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.6% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.6% 0
Fire Exia 0.8% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 0.8% 0
Fire Luxem Tamer 0.8% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 0.8% 0
Fire Rile 0.8% 0
Fire Seiryuu 0.8% 0
Fire Shadowstrike 0.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 44.2% -5.6
Fire Slimes 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.2% -2.9
Fire Umbra Ciel 0.8% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 0.8% 0
Slimes 0.8% 0
Water Crux Mage 0.8% 0
Water Neos 0.8% 0
Water Oblation 0.8% 0
Water Umbra Ciel 0.8% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 0.8% 0
Wind Byakko 0.8% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.1% +5.0
Wind Luxem Zander 0.8% 0
Wind Ravishing Mill 0.8% 0
Wind Razorgale 0.8% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Vermilion Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Spurn to Ash +1.00 1 0 0
Rococo, Explosive Maven -1.00 0 1 0
Heated Vengeance -1.00 0 1 0
Focused Flames -1.00 0 1 0
Smoke Bombs +1.00 1 0 0
Creative Shock +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Set Ablaze -1.00 0 1 0
Fast Cure +1.00 1 0 0
Sigil of Budding Embers +1.00 1 0 0
Blazing Throw -1.00 0 1 0
Fanatical Devotee +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Fractal of Insight +1.00 1 0 0
Acolyte of Cultivation +1.00 1 0 0
Impact Hammer -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/34640/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn