← Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
Water FractalTier 2
at Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
decks
7
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
35
16-19-0
overall winrate
45.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
47.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1406
· median 1432
· range 1250–1516
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1259
Q3 1444
1750
43% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
14% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.8% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -4.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 48.8% | -0.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.6% | -2.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.1% | +2.0 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.6% | -5.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.4 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
