← Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.8% | -4.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Water Oblation | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.5 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Frostbind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chained Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dissuading Aether | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frozen Dismissal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guided Starlight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Calibration | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanishing Eclipse | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Drown in Aether | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meteoric Volley | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cometary Vantage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostsworn Paladin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reposition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Alacritous Huntress | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poised Occlusion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chilling Touch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stellarion Shift | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sidereal Spellshot | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |