← Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1

decks
11 (8.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
46 18-23-5
overall winrate
44.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5% avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
47.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1332 · median 1353 · range 1069–1493 (11 pilots with an ELO rating)
994 Q1 1259 Q3 1444 1750
9% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 18% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 8.8% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 46.8% -2.4
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.2% 4 1-1-2 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.2
Fire Firebloom Burn 6.4% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 46.1% -2.9
Fire Suited 5.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -1.1
Water Fractal 5.6% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 51.2% +0.7
Fire Suzaku 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.0% -6.4
Water Genbu 4.0% 4 0-2-2 25.0% 37.5% 44.3% -3.6
Wind Seiryuu 4.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.4% -1.5
Horse and Taxes 3.2% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 45.4% -3.5
Water Allies 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.7% +6.0
Water Astra Ranger 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.7
Fire Crux Mage 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.2% -2.8
Water Aetherwing 2.4% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 47.5% -1.8
Water Umbra Guardian 2.4% 0
Wind Allies 2.4% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 42.8% -6.9
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.4% 0
Fire Aetherwing 1.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.1
Fire Umbra Guardian 1.6% 0
Water Penguin Mill 1.6% 0
Water Tera Cleric 1.6% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.6% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.9% +7.9
Fire Exia 0.8% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.8% -3.5
Fire Luxem Tamer 0.8% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 0.8% 0
Fire Rile 0.8% 0
Fire Seiryuu 0.8% 0
Fire Shadowstrike 0.8% 0
Fire Slimes 0.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.5% -0.5
Fire Umbra Ciel 0.8% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 0.8% 0
Slimes 0.8% 0
Water Crux Mage 0.8% 0
Water Neos 0.8% 0
Water Oblation 0.8% 0
Water Umbra Ciel 0.8% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.6% +4.1
Wind Byakko 0.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 57.2% +6.9
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.1% -6.2
Wind Luxem Zander 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.2% +3.5
Wind Ravishing Mill 0.8% 0
Wind Razorgale 0.8% 0
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 2 0 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -1.00 0 2 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver +1.00 2 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 2 0 0
Aesan Protector -0.50 0 1 1
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace -0.50 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +0.50 1 0 1
Turbo Charge -0.50 0 1 1
Crystallized Destiny -0.50 0 1 1
Scatter Essence -0.50 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -0.50 0 1 1
Reclaim -0.50 0 1 1
Staggering Strike -0.50 0 1 0
Zephyr -0.50 0 1 1
Penumbral Waltz +0.50 1 0 1
Cleansing Reunion -0.50 0 1 0
Final Stroke -0.50 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree +0.50 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.50 1 0 0
Blinding Orb +0.50 1 0 0
Arrow Trap -0.50 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.00 1 1 0
Tempest Downfall +0.00 1 1 0
Beseech the Winds +0.00 1 1 0
Dream Fairy +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/34640/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike