← Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
Water Umbra GuardianTier 2
at Yeti Gaming DTR Webcam Regional #1
decks
3
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-7-0
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
50.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1385
· median 1278
· range 1239–1638
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1259
Q3 1444
1750
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 40.9% | -6.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.1 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Fire Rile | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Water Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
