Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 松江貓腳印 DTR店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(4.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-5-1
overall winrate
45.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.9%
avg ELO -4.5 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1293
· median 1293
· range 1166–1419
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1245
Q3 1412
1550
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +5.9 |
| Water Allies | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.2% | -17.0 |
| Water Genbu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.1% | +8.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 29.3% | -19.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
