Fire ExiaTier 2
at 松江貓腳印 DTR店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
48.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1231
· median 1231
· range 1231–1231
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1245
Q3 1412
1550
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Water Allies | 11.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Water Genbu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
