Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at 松江貓腳印 DTR店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.4% | -4.2 |
| Water Allies | 11.6% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 63.7% | +8.8 |
| Water Genbu | 7.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.8% | +17.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 31.0% | -12.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.7% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 30.4% | -12.5 |
| Slimes | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.4 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winbless Lookout | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Extraction Incision | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |