Water Astra RangerTier 2
at 松江貓腳印 DTR店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 11.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Slimes | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Grenade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chained Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Water | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dissuading Aether | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frozen Dismissal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guided Starlight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Calibration | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanishing Eclipse | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Take Cover | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurid Dreaming | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tactical Retreat | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Astra Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Krustallan Archer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Drown in Aether | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meteoric Volley | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cometary Vantage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Radiant Vega | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Water | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reposition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Alacritous Huntress | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poised Occlusion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aethercloak Sentinel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stellarion Shift | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sidereal Spellshot | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |