← Distorted Reflections Store Championships
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championships
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.3%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1389
· median 1389
· range 1389–1389
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.3% | +13.7 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.7% | -10.8 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +4.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
