Distorted Reflections Store Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	3	16.7%	5-10-0	33.3%	41.8%	42.4%	45.6%	1219	↓ low
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	16.7%	5-3-5	57.7%	49.2%	53.3%	50.7%	1337	—
3		Fire Suited	Tier 1	2	11.1%	5-4-0	55.6%	49.8%	54.4%	52.2%	1317	—
4		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	2	11.1%	2-6-1	27.8%	39.3%	43.0%	44.8%	1251	—
5		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	11.1%	8-1-2	81.8%	64.2%	57.2%	54.9%	1464	↑ top
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	5.6%	5-2-0	71.4%	56.3%	56.7%	53.7%	1389	↑ top
7		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	5.6%	1-2-1	37.5%	44.6%	47.1%	47.4%	1222	↓ low
8		Fire Kongming	Tier 1	1	5.6%	2-1-2	60.0%	54.5%	51.7%	52.1%	1401	↑ top
9		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	5.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	39.2%	41.4%	44.8%	1071	↓ low
10		Fire Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.0%	48.3%	50.1%	1180	↓ low
11		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	5.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	64.4%	51.8%	56.6%	1221	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Firebloom Burn 3 decks · 16.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 11.1%
• Water Astra Ranger 2 decks · 11.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Kongming 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Tera Kongming 1 deck · 5.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 5.6%