← Distorted Reflections Store Championships

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Distorted Reflections Store Championships

decks
3 (16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13 5-3-5
overall winrate
57.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2% avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1337 · median 1327 · range 1211–1474 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
976 Q1 1194 Q3 1398 1624
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Firebloom Burn 16.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 56.2% +6.0
Fire Suited 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.7% -8.5
Water Astra Ranger 11.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.4
Wind Seiryuu 11.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 56.2% +5.9
Fire Crux Mage 5.6% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 35.7% -13.7
Fire Exia 5.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.0% +3.1
Fire Kongming 5.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.2% -6.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 56.7% +6.4
Fire Tera Kongming 5.6% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 5.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.5% -2.5
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -1.00 0 1 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Penumbral Waltz -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/35768/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike