← Distorted Reflections Store Championships
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Championships
decks
3
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
5-10-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.8%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
42.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1219
· median 1139
· range 976–1541
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1624
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.8% | -6.0 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 58.5% | +5.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.2% | -25.2 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
