← Happyland Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Happyland Store Championship
decks
2
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
52.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1159
· median 1159
· range 1094–1223
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1249
Q3 1461
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 19.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Genbu | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -15.0 |
| Fire Byakko | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.8% | -6.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
