← Happyland Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Happyland Store Championship
decks
2
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.4%
avg ELO +6.7 per match
expected value
54.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1325
· median 1325
· range 1156–1493
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1249
Q3 1461
1685
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 19.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +5.4 |
| Water Genbu | 12.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.6% | +17.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Fire Byakko | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
