← Happyland Store Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Happyland Store Championship
decks
3
(9.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-3-1
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.8%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
47.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1453
· median 1373
· range 1368–1619
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1249
Q3 1461
1685
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 19.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Water Genbu | 12.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -7.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Fire Byakko | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
