← Happyland Store Championship
Fire SuitedTier 2
at Happyland Store Championship
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.9%
avg ELO -9.9 per match
expected value
38.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1161
· median 1161
· range 1161–1161
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1249
Q3 1461
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 19.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Water Genbu | 12.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | -12.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suited decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
