← FTG Distorted Reflections Regional Championship
Wind ArcaneTier 2
at FTG Distorted Reflections Regional Championship
decks
1
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.2%
avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1262–1262
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
978
Q1 1158
Q3 1357
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Triskit | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane Rai | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
