FTG Distorted Reflections Regional Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	4	10.0%	14-6-4	66.7%	56.7%	54.3%	51.4%	1409	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	7.5%	6-8-1	43.3%	41.2%	45.1%	44.9%	1287	—
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	3	7.5%	6-11-0	35.3%	45.7%	47.0%	48.7%	1164	↓ low
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	7.5%	11-4-3	69.4%	72.4%	55.3%	57.6%	1284	—
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	5.0%	3-7-1	31.8%	34.7%	43.5%	43.8%	1381	↑ top
6		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	5.0%	5-6-1	45.8%	59.9%	50.5%	54.7%	1157	↓ low
7		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	2	5.0%	7-3-2	66.7%	58.2%	54.7%	52.9%	1381	↑ top
8		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	5.0%	5-6-0	45.5%	52.1%	48.8%	50.7%	1187	↓ low
9		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	5.0%	6-7-0	46.2%	40.8%	48.7%	46.6%	1192	↓ low
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	5.0%	6-7-0	46.2%	36.1%	51.0%	46.2%	1171	↓ low
11		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	41.1%	44.8%	42.9%	1394	↑ top
12		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	48.2%	50.0%	49.2%	1159	↓ low
13		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	46.8%	52.0%	49.9%	1449	↑ top
14		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.5%	4-1-1	75.0%	63.6%	53.3%	53.5%	1364	↑ top
15		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-2-1	58.3%	56.5%	52.7%	53.2%	1191	↓ low
16		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.5%	4-2-0	66.7%	54.4%	48.3%	48.1%	1343	↑ top
17		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	44.9%	49.1%	46.8%	1171	↓ low
18		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.7%	47.5%	50.1%	1153	↓ low
19		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.1%	43.3%	45.9%	1355	↑ top
20		Water Triskit	Tier 2	1	2.5%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.7%	44.4%	48.9%	1055	↓ low
21		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.5%	2-3-1	41.7%	45.2%	45.0%	46.6%	1262	—
22		Wind Arcane Rai	Tier 2	1	2.5%	1-5-0	16.7%	43.9%	42.2%	47.9%	1021	↓ low
23		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	2.5%	0-4-0	0.0%	34.5%	40.0%	44.7%	978	↓ low
24		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-2-1	58.3%	38.9%	50.7%	45.0%	1382	↑ top
25		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	2.5%	5-1-0	83.3%	72.0%	58.2%	59.2%	1282	—
26		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	54.5%	52.0%	53.4%	1164	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 10.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 3 decks · 7.5%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 7.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 5.0%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 5.0%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 5.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.5%
• Water Triskit 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Arcane Rai 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 2.5%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.5%