← Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflection Shuffle Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Genbu 3 11.1% 20 82.5% 68.2% 60.4% 56.8% 1393 ↑ top
2 Wind Astra Cleric 1 3.7% 6 66.7% 51.2% 53.3% 49.7% 1460 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 3.7% 5 60.0% 50.8% 52.0% 50.1% 1404 ↑ top
4 Fire Slimes 1 3.7% 5 60.0% 59.3% 52.0% 53.0% 1153 ↓ low
5 Wind Shadowstrike 3 11.1% 17 52.9% 55.4% 51.4% 52.8% 1282
6 Wind Razorgale 1 3.7% 5 60.0% 52.7% 51.3% 50.8% 1425 ↑ top
7 Fire Crux Mage 3 11.1% 15 56.7% 52.3% 50.3% 49.5% 1270
8 Fire Aggro 2 7.4% 13 57.7% 51.5% 50.3% 49.2% 1334 ↑ top
9 Fire Luxem Assassin 2 7.4% 8 43.8% 47.7% 47.9% 49.0% 1257
10 Fire Suzaku 2 7.4% 10 50.0% 52.9% 47.4% 48.6% 1144 ↓ low
11 Wind Dawn of Ashes 1 3.7% 5 40.0% 49.1% 46.7% 48.7% 1144 ↓ low
12 Wind Exia 1 3.7% 5 20.0% 39.9% 43.6% 46.4% 1224
13 Water Aetherwing 1 3.7% 4 25.0% 43.6% 42.9% 45.5% 1335 ↑ top
14 Slimes 2 7.4% 9 22.2% 36.5% 41.3% 44.0% 1122 ↓ low
15 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 3.7% 4 0.0% 33.7% 40.0% 43.6% 1070 ↓ low
16 Fire Suited 1 3.7% 4 0.0% 28.5% 40.0% 41.8% 1082 ↓ low
17 Wind Seiryuu 1 3.7% 3 0.0% 31.3% 36.0% 37.7% 1214