tabletop.me Distorted Reflections Regional Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	6	10.5%	2-6-2	30.0%	36.2%	44.1%	45.4%	1194	↓ low
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	10.5%	11-4-6	66.7%	51.6%	55.0%	51.1%	1285	↑ top
3		Slimes	Tier 2	4	7.0%	1-6-1	18.8%	31.7%	45.3%	45.9%	1166	↓ low
4		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	4	7.0%	11-4-4	68.4%	60.5%	53.7%	53.2%	1334	↑ top
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	3	5.3%	5-6-2	46.2%	52.3%	48.2%	50.6%	1237	—
6		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	3	5.3%	0-3-1	12.5%	31.7%	41.8%	42.5%	1180	↓ low
7		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	5.3%	7-6-0	53.8%	54.6%	51.0%	51.9%	1195	—
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	3.5%	7-3-3	65.4%	63.2%	53.5%	54.5%	1275	↑ top
9		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	3.5%	2-1-3	58.3%	57.1%	47.8%	49.9%	1169	↓ low
10		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	3.5%	1-4-1	25.0%	33.9%	46.0%	45.8%	1179	↓ low
11		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	3.5%	4-3-0	57.1%	61.9%	47.4%	50.4%	1242	—
12		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	2	3.5%	2-1-3	58.3%	57.0%	53.3%	54.2%	1283	↑ top
13		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	3.5%	4-2-2	62.5%	63.1%	53.2%	54.7%	1220	—
14		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	3.5%	3-4-2	44.4%	40.2%	47.7%	45.7%	1268	—
15		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	1.8%	0-0-1	50.0%	49.6%	50.0%	49.6%	1228	—
16		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-4-0	20.0%	38.4%	41.1%	43.5%	1146	↓ low
17		Fire Astra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-1-0	0.0%	41.9%	40.0%	41.9%	1187	↓ low
18		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-2-0	60.0%	61.9%	54.1%	56.3%	1231	—
19		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.8%	2-2-1	50.0%	52.6%	46.7%	49.4%	1408	↑ top
20		Water Allies	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-3-1	12.5%	28.7%	46.0%	46.2%	1335	↑ top
21		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-1-1	25.0%	44.3%	45.0%	46.6%	1144	↓ low
22		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	1.8%	1-3-1	30.0%	41.7%	49.1%	49.7%	1144	↓ low
23		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-1-1	70.0%	55.4%	54.1%	52.1%	1313	↑ top
24		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	1.8%	1-1-0	50.0%	49.6%	55.0%	54.8%	1199	—
25		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-3-1	30.0%	41.0%	44.0%	45.3%	1158	↓ low
26		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-1-0	0.0%	39.6%	40.0%	39.6%	1183	↓ low
27		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-1-2	66.7%	56.9%	52.9%	51.9%	1341	↑ top
28		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	61.0%	49.4%	52.5%	1222	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 6 decks · 10.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 10.5%
• Slimes 4 decks · 7.0%
• Wind Razorgale 4 decks · 7.0%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 3 decks · 5.3%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 3.5%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 3.5%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 3.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 3.5%
• Water Tera Mage 2 decks · 3.5%
• Water Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 3.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 3.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Astra Diana 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.8%