← tabletop.me Distorted Reflections Regional Championships
SlimesTier 2
at tabletop.me Distorted Reflections Regional Championships
decks
4
(7.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
1-6-1
overall winrate
18.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.7%
avg ELO -8.8 per match
expected value
45.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1166
· median 1169
· range 1134–1193
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1163
Q3 1313
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.0% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
