← tabletop.me Distorted Reflections Regional Championships
Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at tabletop.me Distorted Reflections Regional Championships
decks
4
(7.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
11-4-4
overall winrate
68.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.5%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
53.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1334
· median 1340
· range 1305–1353
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1163
Q3 1313
1493
75% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Slimes | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 58.7% | +5.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Exia | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.4% | +6.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
