← PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store
Fire OblationTier 2
at PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store
decks
3
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
10-8-1
overall winrate
55.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.3%
avg ELO +5.2 per match
expected value
47.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1259
· median 1231
· range 1207–1339
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1016
Q1 1203
Q3 1400
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.4% | +6.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.7% | +5.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.2% | +25.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.7% | +22.0 |
| Water Nico | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
