PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	7	10.6%	30-13-4	68.1%	59.3%	57.7%	53.4%	1374	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	6	9.1%	21-15-0	58.3%	50.6%	51.8%	50.2%	1362	↑ top
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	6	9.1%	19-16-3	53.9%	55.9%	48.9%	50.4%	1278	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	6	9.1%	9-15-3	38.9%	43.9%	46.8%	49.1%	1301	—
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	5	7.6%	17-11-0	60.7%	54.1%	51.9%	49.7%	1295	—
6		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	5	7.6%	15-17-0	46.9%	52.8%	46.7%	50.5%	1163	↓ low
7		Fire Suited	Tier 2	4	6.1%	8-13-0	38.1%	49.0%	46.7%	49.9%	1214	↓ low
8		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	3	4.5%	10-8-1	55.3%	63.3%	47.6%	51.7%	1259	—
9		Water Genbu	Tier 1	3	4.5%	11-5-3	65.8%	51.4%	55.8%	50.8%	1479	↑ top
10		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	3.0%	6-5-1	54.2%	48.9%	47.1%	46.8%	1444	↑ top
11		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	3.0%	2-6-0	25.0%	28.5%	43.4%	41.6%	1323	—
12		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	2	3.0%	5-5-0	50.0%	45.0%	43.9%	42.8%	1410	↑ top
13		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	2	3.0%	5-3-2	60.0%	51.7%	54.8%	52.5%	1326	—
14		Fire Exia	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-5-0	16.7%	33.5%	44.0%	45.5%	1209	↓ low
15		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-4-0	42.9%	45.3%	45.9%	47.0%	1175	↓ low
16		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	52.1%	50.7%	51.4%	1303	—
17		Fire Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-6-1	7.1%	30.2%	40.8%	43.6%	1016	↓ low
18		Water Allies	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-4-0	42.9%	52.9%	46.5%	50.1%	1138	↓ low
19		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-4-1	25.0%	36.2%	46.8%	48.0%	1267	—
20		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.5%	5-1-1	78.6%	58.5%	53.0%	50.3%	1578	↑ top
21		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-5-0	37.5%	44.9%	46.5%	48.3%	1126	↓ low
22		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.8%	51.2%	49.9%	1307	—
23		Water Nico	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	44.2%	41.8%	46.0%	1169	↓ low
24		Wind Byakko	Tier 3	1	1.5%	3-4-0	42.9%	51.7%	45.1%	47.8%	1338	—
25		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-4-2	28.6%	41.4%	40.4%	42.7%	1076	↓ low
26		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-3-0	57.1%	52.7%	52.1%	51.4%	1428	↑ top
27		Wind Triskit	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-5-1	21.4%	41.8%	39.4%	44.4%	1046	↓ low
28		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-5-1	21.4%	41.8%	39.4%	44.4%	1046	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 7 decks · 10.6%
• Fire Crux Mage 6 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 6 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 9.1%
• Water Aetherwing 5 decks · 7.6%
• Water Ravishing Mill 5 decks · 7.6%
• Fire Suited 4 decks · 6.1%
• Fire Oblation 3 decks · 4.5%
• Water Genbu 3 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 3.0%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 3.0%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 3.0%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Nico 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Triskit 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.5%