← Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Island Phantom Monarchs Grand Archive Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 3.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 43.1% | 58.0% | 47.5% | 1688 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.2% | 8 | 81.2% | 76.2% | 57.3% | 59.2% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 6.5% | 13 | 69.2% | 66.0% | 55.7% | 56.0% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 55.6% | 55.7% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 58.1% | 55.4% | 56.8% | 1233 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 6.5% | 9 | 66.7% | 48.2% | 53.8% | 48.2% | 1441 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 6.5% | 9 | 44.4% | 40.0% | 53.7% | 48.8% | 1316 | — |
| 8 | Fire Tera Silvie | 2 | 6.5% | 11 | 50.0% | 56.6% | 52.9% | 55.1% | 1224 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 6 | 19.4% | 28 | 48.2% | 53.9% | 50.5% | 52.5% | 1255 | — |
| 10 | Wind Crux Merlin | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 30.6% | 48.0% | 46.1% | 1124 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 38.4% | 47.5% | 44.9% | 1338 | — |
| 12 | Fire Neos | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 44.7% | 46.7% | 46.5% | 1226 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Aetherwing | 4 | 12.9% | 21 | 42.9% | 44.1% | 46.4% | 46.7% | 1306 | — |
| 14 | Fire Crux Mage | 4 | 12.9% | 14 | 39.3% | 45.6% | 44.9% | 45.9% | 1227 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 3.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.2% | 44.1% | 45.7% | 1312 | — |
| 16 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 3.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 34.6% | 36.2% | 42.3% | 1130 | ↓ low |