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Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Capybara Cards Store Championship
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.9%
avg ELO +9.0 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1164
· median 1164
· range 1164–1164
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1219
Q3 1392
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.4% | +23.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
