Capybara Cards Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	6	15.4%	8-12-1	40.5%	44.3%	47.4%	47.4%	1310	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	10.3%	9-5-4	61.1%	53.2%	54.5%	52.5%	1307	—
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	10.3%	6-9-2	41.2%	46.6%	47.7%	50.6%	1280	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	7.7%	7-9-1	44.1%	47.1%	47.5%	48.8%	1368	↑ top
5		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 2	3	7.7%	5-6-3	46.4%	36.3%	47.8%	44.3%	1308	—
6		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	5.1%	1-5-0	16.7%	15.7%	35.6%	28.8%	1403	↑ top
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	5.1%	5-2-2	66.7%	59.3%	58.5%	56.6%	1342	—
8		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	2	5.1%	4-5-1	45.0%	57.1%	51.5%	54.9%	1224	↓ low
9		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	5.1%	6-4-1	59.1%	56.0%	52.2%	53.1%	1371	↑ top
10		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	5.1%	6-4-0	60.0%	52.6%	54.0%	53.2%	1369	↑ top
11		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.2%	43.3%	47.4%	1235	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.6%	5-2-0	71.4%	72.8%	52.9%	56.0%	1295	—
13		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	33.9%	52.9%	48.2%	1519	↑ top
14		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	66.9%	51.1%	55.4%	1164	↓ low
15		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-3-0	25.0%	44.9%	45.0%	48.3%	1234	↓ low
16		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	6-0-0	100.0%	69.9%	61.0%	56.1%	1388	↑ top
17		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	42.1%	37.1%	45.3%	1142	↓ low
18		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-2-0	50.0%	62.9%	48.6%	53.9%	1075	↓ low
19		Wind Dawn of Ashes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-2-3	41.7%	38.5%	51.4%	49.0%	1237	↓ low
20		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-1-0	75.0%	61.9%	58.2%	59.6%	1326	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 6 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 10.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 10.3%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Umbra Alice 3 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 5.1%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.1%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.6%